jhetley: (Default)
jhetley ([personal profile] jhetley) wrote2007-12-05 09:35 am

Statistics and the scientific method

Saw an estimate of 14.5" of snow for our location.  I think that level of precision in the results exceeds the accuracy of the measurement...

[identity profile] wcg.livejournal.com 2007-12-05 05:44 pm (UTC)(link)
I think the actual prediction algorithms predict whole centimeters of snowfall. So half an inch is about right for the predictive accuracy, given 2.54 cm per inch.

[identity profile] jhetley.livejournal.com 2007-12-05 05:50 pm (UTC)(link)
This would purport to be an actual measurement of precip.

[identity profile] wcg.livejournal.com 2007-12-05 05:51 pm (UTC)(link)
Ah, so they're probably just looking at their rain gauge, and seeing where the snow tops out inside the graduated cylinder.